11 Sep, 2025

Florida property values are assessed by County Property Appraisers, who use mass appraisal techniques, primarily the market (sales comparison), cost, and income approaches. Accuracy can vary significantly.

* **Sales Comparison Approach:** Relies on recent sales of comparable properties. Accuracy is best in homogenous neighborhoods with frequent sales.
* **Cost Approach:** Estimates value based on the cost to replace the property, minus depreciation. Often used for unique or newer properties.
* **Income Approach:** Used for income-producing properties, estimating value based on net operating income (NOI).

**Key Considerations impacting accuracy:**

* **Mass Appraisal Limitations:** Valuation of large numbers of properties simultaneously introduces inherent inaccuracies compared to individual appraisals.
* **Homestead Exemption:** Limits assessment increases to 3% annually, potentially creating a significant discrepancy between assessed and market value over time.
* **Market Volatility:** Rapid market changes (booms/busts) can quickly render assessed values outdated.
* **Neighborhood Specificity:** Broad averaging of comparable sales can lead to inaccuracies if neighborhood characteristics are not finely tuned.
* **Data Quality:** Errors in property data (size, features, condition) used in the valuation models impact accuracy.
* **Assessment Ratio:** The percentage of market value used for assessment. Florida law requires 100% for most properties. Discrepancies may arise.
* **Appeal Process:** Taxpayers have the right to appeal their assessed value if they believe it’s inaccurate.
* **Median Sale Price increase:** In 2022, Florida saw median sale price increases of over 20% in some counties, potentially leading to assessment lags.

11 Sep, 2025

It’s an interesting morning for economic data and the bond market’s reaction.  At face value, CPI was mostly in line with forecasts, but unrounded numbers were a bit hot (i.e. core monthly CPI was 0.346%, almost high enough to make for a 0.4 vs 0.3 reading). Additionally, monthly headline inflation was 0.4 vs 0.3. These numbers, in and of themselves, wouldn’t seem to suggest a bond rally.  At the same moment, Jobless Claims printed at 263k vs a 235k forecast–the highest reading since 2021. The initial conclusion is that there is enough labor market concern to offset still-elevated inflation, but a drop in supercore inflation (excludes food/energy/housing) may be the bigger factor.  Last month’s supercore, per Bloomberg, was 0.481.  This month, it fell to 0.330. This basically means inflation is standing aside and allowing the Fed to focus on the weaker labor market–a conclusion that’s far more informed by the last jobs report than today’s jobless claims.

10 Sep, 2025

Florida property values are influenced by factors like location, size, condition, age, and recent sales of comparable properties (comps). Accurately estimating requires considering both automated valuation models (AVMs) and professional appraisals. AVMs, like Zillow’s Zestimate, provide an initial range but can deviate significantly from actual market value; median error rates vary. Professional appraisals offer the most accurate estimate, costing typically $300-$500. Florida’s real estate market is dynamic; waterfront properties command premiums. Interest rate fluctuations and inflation influence affordability and demand. Homestead exemptions can reduce property tax burdens. Property taxes are calculated based on assessed value, factoring in millage rates. Local market conditions and community developments play a significant role in property values.

10 Sep, 2025

“Rob, I hate it when mom and dad fight. Will this Pulte/Bessent, FHFA/Treasury tussle impact mortgage rates?” Probably not; it hasn’t so far. Director Pulte is certainly in the news. Occupancy isn’t a partisan issue, right?! FHFA Director Pulte, who continues to point out potential fraud by Fed. Governor Lisa Cook (who a Federal judge ruled yesterday could stay in her post), has two close relatives who have declared the same owner-occupied status on two homes in two different states! Don’t blame me: read about it in CNBC and Reuters. “Mark and Julie Pulte, the father and stepmother of Bill Pulte, President Donald Trump’s appointee as director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, since 2020 have claimed so-called ‘homestead exemptions’ for residences in wealthy neighborhoods in both Michigan and Florida…” What about news closer to regular lending? Chase launched some publicity with a limited-time “mortgage rate refinance sale.” The Chase promotion is on rate-and-term and cash-out refinances through Sunday, Sept. 21. Customers must lock in their refinancing rate during this period to earn the discount. How much of a discount? According to Chase, “Discounts will vary by mortgage product and location.” (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s are sponsored by Indecomm. Streamlining operations with the genius blend of automation, AI, and services. Achieve practical digital transformation and real operational impact with Indecomm’s purpose-built mortgage solutions. Hear an interview with MCT’s Phil Rasori on shifting coverage in response to policy and economic changes, to the expansion of ARM and non-QM products, the growing role of AI in hedging and analytics, evolving tech freeing up staff for strategic work, and the rising demands placed on modern capital markets departments.)

9 Sep, 2025

Florida homeowners considering mortgage refinancing should be aware of several key factors. As of late 2024, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Florida fluctuate around 6.5-7.5%, while 15-year fixed rates hover between 5.8-6.8%, influencing potential savings. Common refinance goals include lowering interest rates, shortening loan terms, or accessing cash for home improvements or debt consolidation. The break-even point, where savings outweigh refinance costs (typically 3-6% of the loan amount), is crucial in determining profitability. Florida’s housing market appreciation can impact loan-to-value ratios, potentially allowing homeowners to eliminate Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) if equity exceeds 20%. Credit score requirements for optimal refinance rates generally start at 740 or higher, with lower scores leading to less favorable terms. Florida-specific refinance programs may exist, potentially offering assistance to eligible homeowners.

9 Sep, 2025

Tomorrow I head from Boise to Jackson for the Mississippi Mortgage Banker’s Fall Conference. Certainly a topic in my email in-box and at events is how Freddie and Fannie’s market share is ebbing, and at noon PT, 3PM ET, Capital Markets Wrap (presented by Polly) will explore if F&F are fading from prominence amid the rise of alternative products, whether the market is getting ahead of itself in expecting mortgage rates to come down and what that means for lenders and investors, take a look at ARM demand and pricing, and discuss how hedging strategies shift during Fed easing cycles. At “the top of the funnel,” all of the news about occupancy fraud inspired attorney and Mortgage Musings author Brian Levy to provide his thoughts about the nuances of the topic in his latest Mortgage Musing. Sign up here to receive Levy’s Musings delivered directly to your email or you can find it on the Chrisman Commentary’s Thought Leadership page. And while we’re at the “top of the funnel,” according to Curinos’ new proprietary application index, refinances increased 47 percent in August while the purchase index decreased 2 percent for August as a whole. August 2025 funded mortgage volume decreased 4% YoY and decreased 6% MoM. Curinos sources a statistically significant data set directly from lenders to produce these benchmark figures. We drill into this data further here. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s are sponsored by Indecomm. Streamlining operations with the genius blend of automation, AI, and services. Achieve practical digital transformation and real operational impact with Indecomm’s purpose-built mortgage solutions. Hear an interview with Call Equity’s Mel Lund on how operations and sales can assist one another to drive origination volume.)

8 Sep, 2025

– Florida’s median home price in February 2024 was $415,000, up 4.8% year-over-year (Florida Realtors).

– Staging a home can increase its perceived value by up to 5% and reduce time on market by 33-50% (National Association of Realtors).

– Homes with professional photography sell 32% faster and for 3-11% more (RISMedia).

– Curb appeal investments, such as landscaping, can yield a 100-200% return on investment (ROI).

– Seller disclosures are legally required and crucial for avoiding future lawsuits; failure to disclose known defects can lead to legal action.

– Pricing strategies should consider current market trends, comparable sales (comps), and seasonality for optimal results. Overpricing can lead to longer listing times and price reductions.

– Multiple offer situations are still present in some Florida markets; sellers should strategically evaluate offers based on price, contingencies, and buyer qualifications.

– Streamlining the closing process with pre-listing inspections and title work can significantly reduce stress and potential delays.

– Capital gains tax applies to profits from the sale of a home; exemptions exist for primary residences ($250,000 for single filers, $500,000 for married filing jointly).

8 Sep, 2025

“When the economy is good, people drink. When the economy is bad, people drink. The moral? Invest in alcohol.” Here in Boise at the PNMLC, the comments about Friday’s jobs data (showing a worsening employment picture) and economy ranged from, “It’s about time we have accurate numbers that we can rely upon” to “The Trump Administration is still blaming the people compiling the numbers as opposed to the actual policies… like if you had an NFL owner who just lost big and instead of changing the quarterback or firing the coach, they axed the scoreboard operator.” “Tech” is also a discussion topic, and I received this note. “We’re a nationwide lender, and grown, and have begun the hunt for a new Point of Sale system. Any suggestions?” It depends on your channels, size, and needs (present and future), but a solid place to start is at this Marketplace, a free centralized hub for vendors and service providers across the mortgage industry to be viewed by lenders. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s are sponsored by Indecomm. Streamlining operations with the genius blend of automation, AI, and services. Achieve practical digital transformation and real operational impact with Indecomm’s purpose-built mortgage solutions. Hear an interview with Polunsky Beitel Green’s Marty Green on Fed Governor Cook’s timeline for recourse in the courts over her recent firing and various other political happenings as we approach next week’s FOMC meeting.) Company Sponsored Webinars

7 Sep, 2025

– Staged homes sell 73% faster than non-staged homes.
– Staging can increase a home’s selling price by up to 20%.
– 22% of seller’s agents reported an increase of 1-5% of the dollar value offered by buyers, compared to similar homes.
– Key staging areas are living room, master bedroom, kitchen, and bathrooms.
– Focus on decluttering, depersonalizing, and creating a clean, neutral aesthetic.
– Curb appeal is crucial: landscaping, fresh paint, and a welcoming entryway matter.
– Staging ROI can range from 586% to 1300%.
– 38% of buyer’s agents said staging positively affects a buyer’s view of the home.