15 Mar, 2025

Florida homeownership involves navigating unique considerations such as hurricane preparedness and fluctuating insurance costs. The average Florida home price in 2024 is approximately $400,000, but this varies widely by region (e.g., Miami-Dade vs. rural areas). Property taxes average around 0.98% of a home’s assessed value annually. Florida requires disclosure of previous sinkhole activity and flood zone status. Homeowners insurance is crucial, with average premiums significantly higher than the national average, often exceeding $6,000 annually, depending on location and coverage. It’s prudent to obtain wind mitigation inspections to potentially lower insurance premiums. Many first-time homebuyers utilize state and local down payment assistance programs. Understanding homestead exemptions is critical for reducing property taxes and protecting assets. Inspections should specifically address issues common in Florida such as termites, mold, and roof condition, considering the impact of intense sun and storms.

15 Mar, 2025

Florida offers several programs for first-time homebuyers. Eligibility often hinges on not owning a home in the past 3 years or meeting specific income and purchase price limits. The Florida Housing Finance Corporation (Florida Housing) is the primary agency administering these programs.

Key Programs include:

* **Florida Housing Loan Programs:** Offering low-interest rates and down payment/closing cost assistance. Often require homebuyer education courses.
* **Down Payment Assistance (DPA):** Can provide up to $10,000 or more, often structured as a second mortgage (forgivable or deferred payment).
* **Mortgage Credit Certificate (MCC):** Reduces federal income tax liability, effectively lowering the mortgage interest rate.
* **Florida Hometown Heroes Loan Program:** Provides reduced interest rates and upfront fees to essential workers, including law enforcement officers, firefighters, educators, healthcare professionals, and active military or veterans.

Important Statistics/Data Points:

* Income and purchase price limits vary by county and program. Check Florida Housing’s website for current figures.
* DPA amounts and terms differ based on the specific program and lender.
* The MCC provides a tax credit of up to $2,000 annually.

Critical Points of Interest:

* Homebuyer education is often mandatory for first-time homebuyers utilizing these programs.
* Limited funds are available; application does not guarantee approval.
* Working with a participating lender familiar with Florida Housing programs is crucial.
* FHA, VA, and USDA loans are available to first-time homebuyers in Florida, with varying down payment requirements.

15 Mar, 2025

Florida mortgage rates mirror national trends but can be impacted by state-specific economic factors and insurance costs. As of late 2023/early 2024, rates fluctuated between 6-8% for a 30-year fixed mortgage, significantly impacting affordability compared to the sub-3% rates seen in 2021. Each 1% increase in mortgage rates can reduce a buyer’s purchasing power by approximately 10%. High property insurance premiums in Florida, driven by hurricane risk, add to the overall cost of homeownership and can influence lender risk assessment. The Florida Housing Finance Corporation offers programs aimed at first-time homebuyers, potentially providing lower rates or down payment assistance. Fluctuations in the 10-year Treasury yield heavily influence mortgage rate movements.

25 Feb, 2025

Why Aren’t Bonds Happier About CPI?

For the 2nd month in a row, the market’s reaction to a CPI/PPI report ended up being less about the report itself and more about its implications for the more highly regarded PCE inflation data. While we have to wait 2 weeks for official word on PCE, the CPI/PPI combination goes a long way toward revealing the outcome. In today’s case, CPI suggested higher PCE inflation, so bonds ended up selling off, albeit modestly, despite core CPI coming in lower than expected. Thursday’s PPI once again has the opportunity to punch above its typical weight for the same reason. 

Econ Data / Events

Core M/M CPI

0.2 vs 0.3  f’cast. 0.5 prev
unrounded 0.2266

Core Y/Y CPI

3.1 vs 3.2 f’cast, 3.3 prev

Market Movement Recap

09:31 AM Weaker overnight and mixed reaction to CPI (mostly ignored). MBS down 1 tick (0.03) and 10yr up 3.6bps at 4.316

12:46 PM MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 2.8bps at 4.308

03:41 PM Fairly flat in the afternoon, despite some noise in both directions.  MBS are unchanged and 10yr yields are up 3.6bps at 4.317

25 Feb, 2025

Florida homeownership requires careful planning. The median home price in Florida was around $400,000 in late 2023. A down payment of at least 3-5% is often needed, with 20% preferred to avoid Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI). Credit score is crucial, ideally above 740 to secure the best mortgage rates. Closing costs typically range from 2-5% of the loan amount. Factor in ongoing expenses like property taxes, homeowner’s insurance (average $6,000 annually), and potential HOA fees. Florida experiences higher-than-average risk of hurricanes, impacting insurance costs and requiring wind mitigation measures.

25 Feb, 2025

Seemingly overnight (i.e. over the past 30 days when it comes to markets reacting to economic data), the CPI and PPI inflation numbers that normally impact bonds have been overlooked in favor of a handful of line items buried within each report.  The line items in question are those that impact the PCE price index (released 2 weeks from now). In today’s case, those specific line items pointed toward higher PCE inflation even though headline/core PPI inflation was lower than forecast. 

To recap, PCE is a more important inflation number than CPI or PPI, but CPI/PPI come out 2 weeks earlier and several of their components flow directly into the PCE calculation.  For the 2nd day in a row, those components were higher (bad for bonds), even though CPI/PPI came in lower. 

25 Feb, 2025

* **Increased Tech Adoption:** Florida homebuyers and sellers are increasingly relying on technology throughout the real estate process, impacting property searches, virtual tours, and transaction management.
* **Online Portals Dominance:** Zillow, Realtor.com, and Trulia are primary starting points for property searches, used by over 80% of buyers in some Florida markets.
* **Virtual Tours & 3D Models:** Virtual tours are now expected, with listings featuring them receiving up to 50% more interest. 3D models create immersive experiences that can attract remote buyers.
* **Mobile-First Approach:** Over 70% of buyers search for homes on mobile devices, emphasizing the need for mobile-friendly websites and apps for agents and brokerages.
* **E-Signatures & Online Closings:** Electronic signatures are widely accepted, streamlining paperwork. Remote online notarization (RON) is permitted in Florida, enabling fully digital closings in certain situations.
* **Data-Driven Insights:** Real estate professionals are leveraging data analytics tools to provide clients with accurate market information, pricing strategies, and investment advice.
* **Smart Home Technology Integration:** Buyers value smart home features, with listings showcasing such features potentially commanding higher prices in certain sub-markets.
* **Cybersecurity Concerns:** Increased online activity raises cybersecurity risks; buyers and sellers should use secure platforms and be wary of phishing scams.
* **iBuyers and Alternative Models:** iBuyers, while present, have had varied success in Florida. Sellers should carefully weigh the pros and cons of instant offers versus traditional sales.
* **Agent Reliance Still Strong:** Despite tech advancements, most buyers and sellers still rely on a real estate agent’s expertise, indicating technology complements, rather than replaces, human interaction.

25 Feb, 2025

Teddy Roosevelt thought that lawyers are trained to serve clients and not justice. An interesting discussion topic. Residential lending certainly has its share of legal proceedings and suits, but commercial lending does as well. For example, Wells Fargo is suing JPMorgan over a troubled $481 million commercial real estate loan made in 2019 to “recover losses for investors on the loan allegedly based on fraudulently inflated net operating income by 25 percent. According to the complaint in Manhattan federal court, JPMorgan went ahead with the loan, knowing it would eventually be sold in pieces to unwitting investors. The borrower defaulted in 2022 and still owes more than $285 million, while investors have lost tens of millions of dollars, Wells Fargo said. Wells Fargo wants New York-based JPMorgan to repurchase the loan, less amounts the trust received from sales of underlying properties, or else pay damages for breach of contract. In the residential world, the talk of repurchase requests by Freddie and Fannie has died down, but it is still a possibility and the cost of handling and defending against those requests, or dealing with repurchases, is certainly added to the cost of business for lenders. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s is sponsored by TransUnion. TransUnion offers thousands of B2B solutions designed to address the unique needs of mortgage lenders, especially for their identity-focused, data-driven mortgage insights and solutions. Hear an interview with TRAiNED’s Jonathan Freed on what problems AI can solve in mortgage lending and how successful lenders are embracing it.)

25 Feb, 2025

Florida’s homeownership rate hovers around 68%, slightly below the national average. First-time homebuyers should budget for closing costs, typically 2-5% of the purchase price. Property taxes average around 0.97% of assessed value annually. Homeowners insurance is significantly higher than the national average, influenced by hurricane risk and averaging over $6,000 per year in some coastal areas. Flood insurance is often required, especially in high-risk zones, and is separate from homeowner’s insurance. Common home maintenance costs in Florida include AC maintenance ($150-$300 annually), lawn care ($100-$200 monthly), and potential roof repairs due to storm damage. Homestead exemption can significantly reduce property taxes for primary residences, up to $50,000 in some counties. Down payment assistance programs are available for eligible first-time buyers and can provide up to $15,000 in assistance.

25 Feb, 2025

* **Market Shift:** Florida’s real estate market is transitioning from a seller’s market to a more balanced or buyer’s market in many areas.
* **Inventory Increase:** Statewide, housing inventory is significantly higher than previous years, leading to increased competition among sellers.
* **Days on Market (DOM):** Average days on market are increasing, indicating homes are taking longer to sell.
* **Price Reductions:** A higher percentage of listings are experiencing price reductions, suggesting sellers need to price competitively.
* **Professional Photography/Virtual Tours:** High-quality visuals are critical for attracting online buyers.
* **Staging Importance:** Staging homes effectively can help them stand out and command higher offers.
* **Negotiation Skills:** Sellers must be prepared to negotiate offers and potentially make concessions.
* **Appraisal Gaps:** Increased likelihood of appraisal gaps, requiring sellers to be flexible or buyers to cover the difference.
* **Seller Disclosures:** Full and accurate property disclosures are essential to avoid legal issues.
* **Interest Rate Impact:** Rising interest rates are affecting buyer affordability and demand.
* **Property Taxes & Insurance:** High insurance costs and increasing property taxes impact affordability for potential buyers.