11 Oct, 2025

* **Florida Refinance Rates:** Fluctuating daily; compare multiple lenders to find the best rate. Rates are influenced by factors like credit score, loan-to-value (LTV), and loan type (fixed-rate, adjustable-rate).
* **Common Refinance Goals:** Lower monthly payments, shorten loan term, switch from ARM to fixed-rate, tap into home equity (cash-out refinance).
* **Key Refinance Types:**
* **Rate-and-Term Refinance:** Replace existing mortgage with a new one featuring a lower interest rate or different loan term.
* **Cash-Out Refinance:** Borrow more than the outstanding mortgage balance and receive the difference in cash. Interest rates are generally higher than rate-and-term.
* **Streamline Refinance (VA, FHA):** Simplified process with potentially less documentation for eligible borrowers. Often lowers the interest rate.
* **Credit Score Impact:** Borrowers with excellent credit scores (760+) typically qualify for the lowest interest rates. Scores below 620 may face difficulty in securing favorable refinance options.
* **Loan-to-Value (LTV):** Lenders prefer lower LTVs (more equity in the home). Higher LTVs can result in higher interest rates or the requirement of Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI).
* **Closing Costs:** Typically range from 2% to 5% of the loan amount. Include appraisal fees, title insurance, origination fees, and recording fees.
* **Break-Even Point:** Calculate the time it takes for monthly savings to offset closing costs. Crucial for determining if refinancing is financially beneficial.
* **Florida Specific Considerations:** Research local lenders familiar with Florida’s real estate market and regulations. Potential for property tax reassessment following a refinance.
* **Refinance Volume:** Mortgage refinance application volume is sensitive to interest rate changes. When rates drop, refinance applications tend to increase, and vice-versa.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

11 Oct, 2025

Florida’s real estate market is showing signs of cooling after a period of rapid growth.

* **Price deceleration:** Median home prices are still elevated but growing at a slower pace than in 2021-2022. Some markets are experiencing price corrections.
* **Inventory increase:** Housing inventory is rising across many Florida markets, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.
* **Interest rate impact:** Higher mortgage interest rates are reducing affordability and dampening buyer demand. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate sits around 7%.
* **Migration trends:** While migration to Florida remains positive, it’s moderating compared to the surge seen during the pandemic.
* **Regional variations:** Market conditions vary significantly across Florida. Coastal areas and cities like Miami, Tampa, and Orlando generally have higher prices and more competition than inland areas.
* **Insurance costs:** Rising property insurance costs are a significant concern for Florida homeowners and potential buyers, particularly in coastal regions. Insurance rates can add hundreds or thousands of dollars to monthly housing expenses.
* **Investment considerations:** Investors should carefully evaluate potential rental income and property appreciation against carrying costs (mortgage, insurance, taxes, maintenance).
* **Months’ supply:** A balanced market has around 6 months of supply. Many Florida markets are still below this, favoring sellers, but the trend is moving towards a more balanced market.

10 Oct, 2025

Uneventful Day; MBS Underperform

It’s not uncommon to see MBS outperform their Treasury benchmarks in the run up to a round of weekly Treasury auctions only to underperform when the auction cycle wraps up. That underperformance (or rather, Treasury outperformance) was on full display today with MBS losing about a quarter point while 5yr notes lost about half as much. While bonds are slightly closer to the weaker end of the recent range, they’re still very much inside it.

Market Movement Recap

09:25 AM Moderately weaker so far with 5.0 coupons down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr yields up 2.6bps at 4.143

11:45 AM flat since last update.  MBS down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr up 1.9bps at 4.136

01:04 PM Slightly weaker bond auction = slightly weaker response.  MBS down 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr up 2.9bps at 4.146